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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.010 | $4.76 | +$4.71 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?No | sell | 6.57 | $0.830 | $5.45 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 |
| Yes |
| 5 |
| $0.010 |
| $1.84 |
| +$1.79 |
 Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | Yes | 1.01 | $0.010 | $0.98 | +$0.97 |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.2% in 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.010 | $0.58 | +$0.53 |
 Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.5% and 1.9%? | Yes | 5 | $0.010 | $0.23 | +$0.18 |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.3% in 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.010 | $0.14 | +$0.09 |
 Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%? | Yes | 5 | $0.010 | $0.13 | +$0.08 |
 Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | Yes | 2.52 | $0.010 | $0.09 | +$0.06 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%? | Yes | 5 | $0.010 | $0.07 | +$0.02 |
| Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | Yes | 5 | $0.010 | $0.06 | +$0.01 |
 Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | Yes | 5 | $0.010 | $0.05 | +$0 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%? | Yes | 5 | $0.010 | $0.05 | -$0.01 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 5 | $0.010 | $0.03 | -$0.02 |
 Will Dricus Du Plessis be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.010 | $0.01 | -$0.04 |
| Will Alexandre Pantoja be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.010 | $0.01 | -$0.04 |
 Will Lana – Social Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | Yes | 5 | $0.010 | $0 | -$0.05 |
 Will Watani Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | Yes | 5 | $0.010 | $0 | -$0.05 |
 Will Popular Nasserist Organization win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | Yes | 5 | $0.010 | $0 | -$0.05 |
 Will National Dialogue Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | Yes | 5 | $0.010 | $0 | -$0.05 |
| Will Max Holloway be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.010 | $0 | -$0.05 |
 Will Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party in Lebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | Yes | 5 | $0.010 | $0 | -$0.05 |
 Will Khatt Ahmar win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | Yes | 5 | $0.010 | $0 | -$0.05 |
 Will Progressive Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | Yes | 5 | $0.010 | $0 | -$0.05 |
 Will Taqaddom Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | Yes | 5 | $0.010 | $0 | -$0.05 |
 Will Marada Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | Yes | 5 | $0.010 | $0 | -$0.05 |
| sell |
| 6 |
| $0.945 |
| $5.67 |
| Aug 16, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1.67K | $0.005 | $8.33 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.009 | $0.18 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 5 | $0.982 | $4.91 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.006 | $10 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | May 15, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Yes | sell | 63.13 | $0.122 | $7.68 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?Yes | sell | 4.78 | $0.063 | $0.3 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.063 | $0 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?Yes | sell | 0.1 | $0.063 | $0.01 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.063 | $0 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?Yes | sell | 0.1 | $0.064 | $0.01 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?No | buy | 7.09 | $0.973 | $6.9 | May 4, 2025 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | sell | 40.19 | $0.930 | $37.38 | May 4, 2025 |
| Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?No | buy | 5 | $0.977 | $4.89 | May 4, 2025 |
| Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?No | sell | 5 | $0.977 | $4.89 | May 4, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Yes | buy | 63.13 | $0.150 | $9.47 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.003 | $0.02 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | sell | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | sell | 5 | $0.980 | $4.9 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 34.51 | $0.880 | $30.37 | Jan 31, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Jan 31, 2025 |
 Will Jake Paul fight Andrew Tate next?No | buy | 4.63 | $0.936 | $4.33 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 Will another party win the most seats in the Ghanaian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.005 | $0.03 | Dec 2, 2024 |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.004 | $0.02 | Dec 2, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.004 | $0.02 | Dec 2, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.004 | $0.02 | Dec 2, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.015 | $0.08 | Dec 2, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.004 | $0.02 | Dec 2, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.004 | $0.02 | Dec 2, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.015 | $0.08 | Dec 2, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.004 | $0.02 | Dec 2, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.015 | $0.08 | Dec 2, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.004 | $0.02 | Dec 2, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.285 | $1.42 | Dec 2, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.015 | $0.08 | Dec 2, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.004 | $0.02 | Dec 2, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.285 | $1.42 | Dec 2, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.695 | $3.47 | Dec 2, 2024 |
 Will Fine Gael win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.006 | $0.03 | Dec 1, 2024 |
 Will Sinn Féin win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.006 | $0.03 | Dec 1, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.683 | $3.42 | Dec 1, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.948 | $4.74 | Dec 1, 2024 |
 Will someone else be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.037 | $0.19 | Dec 1, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.013 | $0.07 | Dec 1, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.017 | $0.09 | Dec 1, 2024 |