Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 16 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 139 daily closes on record from 16 May 2026 to 1 Oct 2026, the highest close was 77.5% on 18 May 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 30 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 68.5% on 17 May 2026. $3.77K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 6:09 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 139 points, 16 May 2026 – 1 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | 49.0% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| crossFiter | Yes | 334 |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 150 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a qualifying Coinbase token sale request window goes live between the creation of this market and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, a Coinbase token sale request window must be live and actively accepting commitments. Qualifying sales must be hosted directly by Coinbase on coinbase.com/token-sales or any official successor page within the Coinbase app or website. Sales run on a project's own site via Sonar, Echo, or any Coinbase-powered white-label technology do not qualify, regardless of affiliation. Private sales, airdrops, standard exchange listings, and any sale without a dedicated public request window do not qualify. Sale announcements, previews, and waitlists do not constitute a live request window. A request window that opens and is subsequently cancelled, paused, or suspended still resolves to "Yes" — post-opening outcomes including cancellation, refunds, pauses, or failure to distribute tokens do not affect resolution. If a sale is announced but the request window never opens, or a token is listed directly without a request window, this market resolves to "No". The resolution source is coinbase.com/token-sales, official Coinbase blog posts, or @Coinbase/@CoinbaseMarkets on X, corroborated by credible news sources.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-token-sale-on-coinbase-by
| 0xoops | Yes | 100 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 80 |
| KrauzeN | Yes | 70 |
| Quiet Atlas 1A3B | Yes | 30.82 |
| PPMT | Yes | 30.05 |
| mujchina | Yes | 21.51 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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