Analytics
Yes is at 8.2%, down 42 points from 50.5% when the market opened on 16 May 2026.
Across the 162 daily closes on record from 16 May 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 81% on 28 May 2026 and the lowest 2% on 27 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.9%; a month before, 10%. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 59% on 29 May 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “Next Token Sale on Coinbase by ___?”.
$89 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.57K since listing. The order book holds $292.9, with a 14.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 113 trades, $109.17 bought Yes and $1.15K bought No.
The largest Yes position is LornaPredicts with 300 shares; the largest No position is alanhutton with 405.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 3:54 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 162 points, 16 May 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | 50.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 8.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| alanhutton | No | 405 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 300 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 172.16 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a qualifying Coinbase token sale request window goes live between the creation of this market and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, a Coinbase token sale request window must be live and actively accepting commitments. Qualifying sales must be hosted directly by Coinbase on coinbase.com/token-sales or any official successor page within the Coinbase app or website. Sales run on a project's own site via Sonar, Echo, or any Coinbase-powered white-label technology do not qualify, regardless of affiliation. Private sales, airdrops, standard exchange listings, and any sale without a dedicated public request window do not qualify. Sale announcements, previews, and waitlists do not constitute a live request window. A request window that opens and is subsequently cancelled, paused, or suspended still resolves to "Yes" — post-opening outcomes including cancellation, refunds, pauses, or failure to distribute tokens do not affect resolution. If a sale is announced but the request window never opens, or a token is listed directly without a request window, this market resolves to "No". The resolution source is coinbase.com/token-sales, official Coinbase blog posts, or @Coinbase/@CoinbaseMarkets on X, corroborated by credible news sources.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-token-sale-on-coinbase-by
| letsfackingo |
| No |
| 154.12 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 126.99 |
| gheymanstanding | No | 118.82 |
| mewmew1 | No | 80.75 |
| Fickle-Halt-Window | Yes | 64.02 |
| VonVonagh | Yes | 45 |
| gonnakilmyslf | Yes | 29 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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