Analytics
Yes is at 36.5%, down 7 points from 43.5% when the market opened on 23 Oct 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 23 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026, the highest close was 43.5% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 36.5% on 23 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 36.5% on 23 Oct 2026.
It is one of 8 markets under “Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?”.
$2.31K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.34K since listing. The order book holds $1.05K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 50 trades, $450.04 bought Yes and $602.99 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Waterfall with 715 shares; the largest No position is Silver Signal 409F with 370. Ten wallets hold 90.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 30 Oct 2026, 7 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 6:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 23 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 30%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2026 | 43.5% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 36.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Waterfall | Yes | 714.5 |
| Silver Signal 409F | No | 369.93 |
| haruka77 | No | 323.65 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Terra model (5.7+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Terra" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Terra would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Terra or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Terra" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Sol, or GPT-5.6 Luna, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-openai-gpt-terra-5pt7-released-byptptpt
| ZhouCD |
| Yes |
| 156.25 |
| BlindestMonk | Yes | 120 |
| timeistmoney | No | 103.88 |
| balthazar | No | 102.12 |
| AJSV | Yes | 71.13 |
| cigarettes | No | 66 |
| katherinejenkins | No | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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