Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 9% on 11 Jun 2024. Before it settled, the high was 51.6% on 15 Jul 2024 and the low 0.2% on 1 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 45 points up, to 51.6% on 15 Jul 2024. $122.92K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 144 points · 11 Jun 2024 – 1 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jun 2024 | 9.0% |
| 1 Nov 2024 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 68.28K |
| Vengeful-Philanthropy | Yes | 1.78K |
| steamboat1168 | Yes | 178.21 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually upon agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas begins between October 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, and October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. This market's resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming that both parties have agreed to a ceasefire.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-in
| Yes |
| 94.34 |
| enochsmiles | Yes | 18.01 |
| rs3flow | Yes | 10 |
| Violet Voyager 6CA4 | Yes | 3.33 |
| Ivory Horizon C9B6 | Yes | 2.8 |
| Pantagruel | Yes | 1 |
| LoseSavings | Yes | 0.73 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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