Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 9% on 11 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 11 Jun 2024 to 1 Jul 2024, the highest close was 19% on 12 Jun 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 6.5% on 14 Jun 2024. $22.03K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 11 Jun 2024 – 1 Jul 2024, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jun 2024 | 9.0% |
| 1 Jul 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 68.28K |
| Duese1887 | Yes | 131.25 |
| Emerald Harbor F255 | Yes | 10 |
| qrpenc | Yes | 5.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually upon agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas begins between June 10, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, and June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. This market's resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming that both parties have agreed to a ceasefire.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-in
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| 7fa6a | Yes | 2.35 |
| BarronTrump123 | No | 0.02 |
| macro.strategy | Yes | 0.01 |
