
Yes is at 42% on Polymarket.
It is one of 3 markets under “Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by...?”.
$160 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $110.72, with a 8.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is SmartBoyBilly with 50 shares; the largest No position is xtxpleasecallme with 80.
Trading closes on 16 Nov 2026, 19 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 11:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 36%–48%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2026 | 42.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 80 |
| SmartBoyBilly | Yes | 50 |
| vad1 | Yes | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Luna model (6.1+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Luna" and be designated as version 6.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 6.1 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Luna or GPT-6 Luna would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-7 Luna or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Luna" or which retain a version designation below 6.1, such as GPT-6 Luna (released September 22, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, GPT-6 Sol, or GPT-6 Astra, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-6 Luna Ultrafast, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-gpt-luna-6pt1-released-byptptpt
| GuyFromTinder |
| Yes |
| 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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