Analytics
Resolved Yes on 8 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 76%. Yes opened at 64.5% on 22 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 17 daily closes on record from 22 Apr 2025 to 8 May 2025, the highest close was 76% on 8 May 2025 and the lowest 60.5% on 28 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 72% on 29 Apr 2025. $403.06K traded over the market's life.
56 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 10, 12:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 22 Apr 2025 – 8 May 2025, chart shows 55%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2025 | 64.5% |
| 8 May 2025 | 76.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jinbib | No | 3.42K |
| Considerate-Maker | No | 2.24K |
| ib1gymnast | No | 2.06K |
| CheemaY | No | 653.26 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on the date when the next Pope will be announced following the current Pope's resignation or death.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/new-pope-announced-by
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| JohnaThon-189 | No | 413.22 |
| rizla | No | 400 |
| Cubamano | No | 362.61 |
| giammarcorodio | No | 238.03 |
| Rascolica | No | 200 |
| Smektaorg | No | 178.59 |
