Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETUp | buy | 791.42 | $0.010 | $7.91 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 709.91 |
| $0.013 |
| $9.23 |
| Apr 11, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by April 30?Yes | buy | 709.91 | $0.021 | $14.9 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.98K | $0.004 | $11.93 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.012 | $12.16 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on October 28?Yes | sell | 75.17 | $0.004 | $0.33 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on October 28?Yes | buy | 75.17 | $0.087 | $6.54 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 727.07 | $0.009 | $6.54 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 941.43 | $0.007 | $6.59 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.19K | $0.006 | $7.16 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 366.11 | $0.018 | $6.59 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 599.25 | $0.011 | $6.59 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 599.26 | $0.027 | $16.18 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 407.41 | $0.027 | $11 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 961.4 | $0.043 | $41.34 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 733.57 | $0.035 | $25.67 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 442.3 | $0.022 | $9.73 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 1.54K | $0.013 | $20 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 875 | $0.016 | $14 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 New Pope announced by May 9?No | buy | 11.14 | $0.290 | $3.23 | May 4, 2025 |
 Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9?Yes | sell | 539.85 | $0.006 | $3.24 | May 4, 2025 |
 Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-29?Yes | buy | 108.45 | $0.220 | $23.86 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-29?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 444.44 | $0.090 | $40 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.009 | $5 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 New Pope announced by May 31?No | buy | 501.77 | $0.017 | $8.55 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9?Yes | buy | 539.85 | $0.019 | $10 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 1.89K | $0.009 | $17 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?Yes | sell | 155.55 | $0.044 | $6.84 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will France win Eurovision 2025?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.070 | $5.25 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?Yes | sell | 29.3 | $0.166 | $4.86 | Apr 28, 2025 |
| New Pope announced by May 9?No | buy | 167.45 | $0.299 | $50 | Apr 28, 2025 |
| Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 155.56 | $0.045 | $7 | Apr 28, 2025 |
| Will France win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 37.5 | $0.080 | $3 | Apr 28, 2025 |
| Will France win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 37.5 | $0.080 | $3 | Apr 28, 2025 |
| Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 29.3 | $0.171 | $5 | Apr 28, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 3.33K | $0.009 | $30 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 1.23K | $0.116 | $142.43 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | sell | 702.7 | $0.190 | $133.51 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 2.7K | $0.037 | $100 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | sell | 1.16K | $0.700 | $810.6 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 1.16K | $0.011 | $12.76 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86000 and $84000 on April 4?Yes | buy | 5.3K | $0.001 | $5.3 | Apr 4, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82000 and $80000 on April 4?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Apr 4, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 473.68 | $0.019 | $8.8 | Jan 29, 2025 |
 Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?No | sell | 108.66 | $0.081 | $8.79 | Jan 29, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "good afternoon" during January press conference?No | buy | 1.19K | $0.031 | $36.47 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "good afternoon" during January press conference?No | sell | 20 | $0.018 | $0.36 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "good afternoon" during January press conference?No | sell | 100 | $0.024 | $2.4 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "good afternoon" during January press conference?No | buy | 210 | $0.024 | $5.04 | Jan 29, 2025 |