Analytics
Yes is at 12%, down 10 points from 22% when the market opened on 2 Dec 2025.
Across the 317 daily closes on record from 2 Dec 2025 to 27 Oct 2026 (13 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 34% on 20 May 2026 and the lowest 4.5% on 14 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 14.5%; a month before, 17.5%. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 34% on 20 May 2026.
$137.07 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $247.56K since listing. The order book holds $527.81, with a 10.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is BluntTruthGentleman with 680 shares; the largest No position is 0x34a42279AD with 1.1K. Ten wallets hold 68.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 8:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 317 points, 2 Dec 2025 – 27 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Dec 2025 | 22.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 10.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x34a42279AD | No | 1.12K |
| BluntTruthGentleman | Yes | 680.45 |
| Michael5289 | No | 480 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/new-covid-variant-of-concern-before-2027
| varch01 |
| No |
| 380.12 |
| BeefDerky | Yes | 337 |
| Gaujmalietis | No | 289.09 |
| Started-with-20-USD | No | 249.67 |
| MarkoBardovic | No | 217.07 |
| Amusing-Campaigning | Yes | 170 |
| realcryptoleek | Yes | 155 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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