Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 55.5%. Yes opened at 28% on 20 Oct 2026. Before it settled, the high was 44.5% on 21 Oct 2026 and the low 28% on 20 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 44.5% on 21 Oct 2026. $492.17 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 21, 11:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 20 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 20%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Oct 2026 | 28.0% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 44.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xandragonite2878 | Yes | 440.47 |
| Stained-Wasabi | Yes | 30 |
| arthudavii | Yes | 21.7 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 20 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ajay Mitchell scores more than 11.5 points during the game. This market will resolve to "No" if Ajay Mitchell scores 11.5 points or fewer during the game. The entire game including all overtime periods will be considered. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the court at any point, the market will resolve "No". The resolution source will be the official NBA box score as published on NBA.com.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-okc-sas-2026-10-20
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