
Resolved Nuggets on 12 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Nuggets at 42.5%. The Bucks side opened at 42.5% on 6 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 6 Jan 2026 to 12 Jan 2026, the highest close was 57.5% on 12 Jan 2026 and the lowest 42.5% on 6 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8 points up, to 51.5% on 8 Jan 2026. $2.98M traded over the market's life.
513 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 13, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Bucks price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 6 Jan 2026 – 12 Jan 2026, chart shows 35%–65%
| Observed | Bucks price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jan 2026 | 42.5% |
| 12 Jan 2026 | 57.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DrPufferfish | Bucks | 35.43K |
| wagwag | Bucks | 35.42K |
| Festka | Bucks | 18K |
| terminalline - 20450 | Bucks | 15.09K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 11 at 8:00PM ET: If the Bucks win, the market will resolve to "Bucks". If the Nuggets win, the market will resolve to "Nuggets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-mil-den-2026-01-11
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