Analytics
Resolved Magic on 17 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Magic at 47.5%. The Heat side opened at 41.5% on 11 Oct 2026. Before it settled, the high was 52.5% on 17 Oct 2026 and the low 26.5% on 15 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 26.5% on 15 Oct 2026. $319.35K traded over the market's life.
215 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 18, 1:45 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Heat price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 11 Oct 2026 – 17 Oct 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Heat price |
|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | 41.5% |
| 17 Oct 2026 | 52.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Heat | 48.74K |
| cybercherry | Heat | 3.9K |
| wangkaihua | Heat | 3.89K |
| Zelenskys-suit | Heat | 3.75K |
| SamHadfield1500 | Heat | 3.39K |
| Burly-Batting | Heat | 3.23K |
| Bozos14 | Heat | 3.23K |
| AnonymousPotato | Heat | 3.05K |
| neymar1 | Heat | 3K |
| Donkey14 | Heat | 2.5K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 16 at 7:00PM ET: If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-mia-orl-2026-10-16
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