Analytics
The Heat side is at 58.5%, up 25 points from 33% when the market opened on 19 Oct 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 19 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 58.5% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 33% on 19 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 51% on 21 Oct 2026.
It is one of 7 markets under “Heat vs. Hornets”.
$2.82K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.57K since listing. The order book holds $32.58K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 65 trades, $557.19 bought Heat and $849.34 bought Hornets.
The largest Heat position is Tomahawkmaster with 668 shares; the largest Hornets position is Euphoric-Ecumenist with 533. Ten wallets hold 79.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 24 Oct 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 6:50 AM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Heat price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 19 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 20%–70%
| Observed | Heat price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | 33.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 58.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Tomahawkmaster | Heat | 667.6 |
| Euphoric-Ecumenist | Hornets | 533 |
| cocoColombo | Heat | 416 |
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 24 at 6:00PM ET: If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If the Hornets win, the market will resolve to "Hornets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-mia-cha-2026-10-24
| NM-P | Heat | 379.75 |
| DolphinBaller | Hornets | 373.71 |
| 38791873984189 | Hornets | 343.19 |
| UNEB3154s4f251 | Hornets | 265 |
| hipster-hedge | Hornets | 252 |
| sbsev | Hornets | 200 |
| Oddstorm | Heat | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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