
Resolved No on 25 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 50%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 24 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 24 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026, the highest close was 50% on 25 Oct 2026 and the lowest 49.5% on 24 Oct 2026. $11.11 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 25, 4:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 24 Oct 2026 – 25 Oct 2026, chart shows 44%–56%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | 49.5% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 42.9 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NBA game between Warriors and Suns, scheduled for October 24 at 10:00 PM ET: This market is one outcome in a neg-risk group covering every margin of victory. This market will resolve to "Yes" only if the game is not played or is canceled. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-gsw-phx-2026-10-24-exact-margin
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page