Analytics
Resolved Thunder on 23 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Thunder at 48%. The Thunder side opened at 44.5% on 17 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 17 Oct 2026 to 21 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 48.5% on 20 Oct 2026 and the lowest 44.5% on 17 Oct 2026. $1.21M traded over the market's life.
142 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 24, 4:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Thunder price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 17 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Thunder price |
|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | 44.5% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 48.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| texaskid | Nuggets | 173.1K |
| mooseborzoii | Nuggets | 98.21K |
| www511zwin | Nuggets | 89.61K |
| timezonewarrior | Nuggets | 27.26K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NBA game between Nuggets and Thunder, scheduled for October 22 at 9:30PM ET: If Thunder wins by more than 8.5 points, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If Nuggets loses by fewer than 8.5 points, or wins the game outright, the market will resolve to "Nuggets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until completed. If the game is canceled entirely, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-den-okc-2026-10-22
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| zb8 | Nuggets | 20K |
| AnonymousUsername | Nuggets | 6.23K |
| lug | Nuggets | 5.77K |
| youbao | Nuggets | 4.45K |
| Complicated-Chassis | Nuggets | 3.82K |
| lottajizz | Nuggets | 3.43K |
