Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 27 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 36 daily closes on record from 27 Sep 2025 to 1 Nov 2025, the highest close was 49.5% on 27 Sep 2025 and the lowest 1.5% on 1 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 36% on 28 Sep 2025. $52.98K traded over the market's life.
53 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 27 Sep 2025 – 1 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2025 | 49.5% |
| 1 Nov 2025 | 1.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Unacceptable-Profession | Yes | 6.06K |
| jjay7777 | Yes | 918.18 |
| Freebricks | Yes | 700.89 |
| Luftkuss | Yes | 522.71 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
NATO fighter jets shot down multiple Russian drones that violated Polish airspace on September 10. For more information see here: https://edition.cnn.com/2025/09/09/europe/poland-scramble-jets-russian-drone-reports-intl-hnk-ml This market will resolve to "Yes" if a NATO military downs another Russian drone by any means (kinetic, jammer, etc.) between September 11 and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nato-downs-another-russian-drone-by-september-30
| AlexPro | Yes | 281.61 |
| Sneaky-Sheep | Yes | 200 |
| DenKontracykliskeKriger | Yes | 166.69 |
| quarkonium | Yes | 153.85 |
| Vigilant-Democracy | Yes | 148.35 |
| lissartter | Yes | 100.05 |
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