Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 90.5%. Yes opened at 8.8% on 1 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 1 Jul 2026 to 4 Jul 2026, the highest close was 29% on 3 Jul 2026 and the lowest 8.8% on 1 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 29% on 3 Jul 2026. $2.14K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 5, 8:55 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 1 Jul 2026 – 4 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | 8.8% |
| 4 Jul 2026 | 9.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BlueBase-568 | Yes | 230.65 |
| SaulSancho | Yes | 67 |
| FierroM | Yes | 9.62 |
| 1f2da719e0b226d9d91664b0cfe0659 | Yes | 5.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the winner of the 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest records 76 or more HDBs (hot dogs and buns) eaten. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest is cancelled, postponed after July 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation of a new world record declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Eating.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nathans-famous-hot-dog-eating-contest-new-world-record-20260626152407219
New to prediction markets?
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| Wordy-Doctrine | Yes | 5 |
| 7...44444 | Yes | 0.02 |
