Question 1

What is the “NASA Escapade launch by December 31?” market asking?

Accepted Answer

It asks whether the following will happen: NASA Escapade launch by December 31? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

Question 2

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Accepted Answer

At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

Question 3

When does this market close?

Accepted Answer

Trading is scheduled to close on Dec 31, 2025. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

Question 4

How does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

If any rocket carrying the ESCAPADE mission spacecraft successfully launches from its launchpad by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM EST, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/NASA), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the market outcome. Any name change of the spacecraft will have no bearing on the market outcome.

Question 5

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Accepted Answer

24h volume ($27.36K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Question 6

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Accepted Answer

Vultax loaded 24 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 96.6% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Question 7

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Accepted Answer

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Nov 16, 8:32 AM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Question 8

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

Accepted Answer

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/nasa-escapade-launch-by-december-31) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
MegaKong	No	10K	1.0%	$10K
Bright Horizon 81D6	No	1.53K	0.1%	$1.53K

Trader	Current holding value
JIBICI	$2.07
MegaKong	$0
Bright Horizon 81D6	$0
Crimson Falcon C79A	$0
intellectualsystem	$0
Bright Signal 14DE	$0
Ready-Update	$0
coxoo.eth	$0
Emerald Pioneer D14A	$0
CannaDough	$0
wylzub	$0
Crimson Vector F03A	$0

NASA Escapade launch by December 31?

Questions about this market