Analytics
Yes is at 15%, down 21 points from 36% when the market opened on 30 Jan 2026.
Across the 263 daily closes on record from 30 Jan 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 85.5% on 25 Feb 2026 and the lowest 10.5% on 18 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 10.5%; a month before, 17.5%. Its largest one-day move was 51 points up, to 77% on 21 Feb 2026.
$77.76K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $261.99, with a 14.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 109 trades, $27.25K bought Yes and $36.2K bought No; the largest was a $27.26K buy of No at 94.0¢.
The largest Yes position is negativePNL with 164 shares; the largest No position is -Dominus- with 347. Ten wallets hold 70.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 9:16 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 263 points, 30 Jan 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2026 | 36.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 15.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| -Dominus- | No | 347.33 |
| negativePNL | Yes | 163.88 |
| Quiet Pioneer EC89 | No | 160 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nara Smith announces that she is pregnant between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice. The resolution source will be statements from Nara Smith or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nara-smith-confirmed-pregnant-in-2026
| Bright Quasar 686B |
| Yes |
| 100 |
| Crimson Maven D934 | Yes | 100 |
| ultraplayz | No | 100 |
| 2B9S | No | 86.37 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 80 |
| Jade Falcon 28AF | No | 58.54 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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