Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 19 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 19 Dec 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 6% on 21 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Jan 2025. $37.85K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 5:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 19 Dec 2024 – 1 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Dec 2024 | 5.5% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Jewishtricks | Yes | 125 |
| circoloco | Yes | 71.43 |
| together | Yes | 71.43 |
| Thanku2025 | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Over the last week several large unidentified flying objects have been recorded flying over New Jersey and New York. It has been broadly reported that they are drones: (https://x.com/rawsalerts/status/1867398877067854160) This market will resolve to "Yes" if any of these mystery "drones" reported flying over US territory is shot out of the sky by any means by the US government, by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements made by the government of the United States of America.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mystery-drones-shot-down-in-2024
| Rapid Voyager 82D2 | Yes | 13 |
| KingDon | No | 5.21 |
| 7s7s | No | 0.09 |
| Mara1 | No | 0.08 |
| Krysti. | No | 0.05 |
| eNakeVets | No | 0.04 |
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