Musk x Maduro fight scheduled by Aug 9?

geopoliticsResolved

No, settled Aug 10, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$91.1K

Resolved

Settled

Aug 10, 2024 UTC

Topic roomVenezuela

Where it stands

Resolved No on 10 Aug 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 2.1% on 1 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 1 Aug 2024 to 10 Aug 2024, the highest close was 2.1% on 1 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 10 Aug 2024. $91.07K traded over the market's life.

12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Aug 11, 2:30 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 1 Aug 2024 – 10 Aug 2024, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
1 Aug 2024	2.1%
10 Aug 2024	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
ComposableKi	Yes	500
Jenny134	Yes	100
Philipp668	Yes	71.43
polycent	Yes	50

10 of 12 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

On July 31, Elon Musk posted that he accepted Venezuelan politician Nicolas Maduro's challenge for a fight. You can see the post here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1818683475530334368 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Venezuelan politician Nicolas Maduro and Elon Musk both announce that they have scheduled a date for a fight by August 9, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, an “announcement” will be defined as Nicolas Maduro Elon Musk and Elon Musk publicly confirming that a physical fight will take place. The fight itself does not need to take place prior to August 9 for this market to resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be any statements issued directly by both Nicolas Maduro and Elon Musk which confirm that a fight will take place.