Analytics
Resolved Yes on 2 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 33%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 27 Jun 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50.5% on 27 Jun 2026 and the low 12% on 1 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 23.5% on 28 Jun 2026. $6.55K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 3, 8:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 6 points · 27 Jun 2026 – 2 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 50.5% |
| 2 Jul 2026 | 33.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| dsfdsddd2 | No | 952.38 |
| baummark2 | No | 450 |
| hjhjhjhjhjhjhj | No | 45.06 |
| TeenagePanda | No | 44.44 |
| hesure | No | 25 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
| 387411007415611814092217897387 | No | 5 |
| nrynry | No | 1.74 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/msft-above-on-july-3-2026
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