Analytics
Resolved Yes on 16 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 81%. Yes opened at 68% on 15 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 15 Jul 2026 to 16 Jul 2026, the highest close was 81% on 16 Jul 2026 and the lowest 68% on 15 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 81% on 16 Jul 2026. $7.5K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 17, 5:45 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 15 Jul 2026 – 16 Jul 2026, chart shows 65%–85%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jul 2026 | 68.0% |
| 16 Jul 2026 | 81.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| erokha | No | 3.13K |
| Predict90 | No | 545.81 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 50 |
| gcjames | No | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The relevant airports are: - Sheremetyevo (SVO); - Domodedovo (DME); and - Vnukovo (VKO). A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify. The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/moscow-air-traffic-suspended-byptptpt-20260713153341190
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| gavinfunda | No | 50 |
| dunnaybot | No | 32.35 |
| PPMT | No | 21.26 |
| dropmeplease | No | 20 |
| housenival-02 | No | 15.15 |
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