Analytics
Resolved Yes on 8 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 53%. Yes opened at 21% on 7 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 7 Feb 2026 to 8 Feb 2026, the highest close was 53% on 8 Feb 2026 and the lowest 21% on 7 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 53% on 8 Feb 2026. $13.38K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 9, 4:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 7 Feb 2026 – 8 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | 21.0% |
| 8 Feb 2026 | 53.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Morgan McSweeney ceases to be Sir Keir Starmer's Chief of Staff for any period of time between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of McSweeney's resignation, removal, or other formal departure from this position before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/departure goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Morgan McSweeney or the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/morgan-mcsweeney-out-as-starmer-chief-of-staff-by-february-28
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