Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 70.5%. Yes opened at 58% on 28 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 28 Oct 2025 to 21 Nov 2025, the highest close was 70.5% on 21 Nov 2025 and the lowest 41.5% on 1 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points up, to 55% on 4 Nov 2025. $44.62K traded over the market's life.
31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 24, 6:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 28 Oct 2025 – 21 Nov 2025, chart shows 30%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2025 | 58.0% |
| 21 Nov 2025 | 70.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 897 |
| fetw | No | 646.57 |
| ArthurGreen | No | 499 |
| TheNoobBeaver | No | 472.56 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Russia between October 27 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions. Sanctions against Russian citizens or entities which do not directly target the Russian state or members of the Russian government will not qualify. The passage of an official act authorizing sanctions on Russia within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if/when the sanctions come into effect. Only the imposition of sanctions on Russia by the EU as an entity will qualify; if individual member states of the EU apply sanctions against Russia (e.g., France imposes novel trade restrictions on Russia unilaterally), it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official information from the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/more-eu-sanctions-on-russia-by-december-31
| Crimson Falcon C79A | No | 353 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 315 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 285 |
| testc0e658 | No | 269.11 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 140 |
| Orange-Underestimate | No | 139.37 |
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