Analytics
Resolved Over on 21 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Over at 31.5%. The Over side opened at 50.5% on 14 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 14 Oct 2026 to 21 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 59% on 16 Oct 2026 and the lowest 31.5% on 21 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 31.5% on 21 Oct 2026.
Polymarket record as of Oct 21, 7:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Over price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 14 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 20%–70%
| Observed | Over price |
|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2026 | 50.5% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 31.5% |
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This market refers to the Mobile Legends Bang Bang Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 2 match between Aurora Gaming PH and Omega Esports in the MPL Philippines Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if Aurora Gaming PH and Omega Esports play 5 or more games in this series. If fewer than 5 games are played, this market will resolve to "Under". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 21, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The match is considered to have begun once live play begins in its first map or game. Warmup rounds and knife rounds do not count as the start of the match. A round forced live because a team did not ready up or resume play within the allotted time does not count as the start of the match if that team forfeits before the next round begins. If the match begins and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, the match will count as completed. In that case, any remaining games required to decide the match, including a game in progress or not yet started, will be counted as won by the winning team. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlbb-ar-oe-2026-10-21
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