Analytics
Resolved Over on 18 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Over at 48.5%. The Over side opened at 50.5% on 16 Oct 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50.5% on 16 Oct 2026 and the low 48.5% on 17 Oct 2026. $383.86K traded over the market's life.
84 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 5:55 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Over price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 16 Oct 2026 – 17 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Over price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | 50.5% |
| 17 Oct 2026 | 48.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sinasinner | Under | 39.93K |
| hi774c | Under | 16.19K |
| BoggsFromShawshank | Under | 13.42K |
| AnonymousUsername | Under | 5.66K |
| Wordy-Littleneck | Under | 3.96K |
| pagliacci4 | Under | 3.65K |
| Forecastication2 | Under | 3.55K |
| Murky-Fallingout | Under | 2K |
| 0xheavy888 | Under | 1.47K |
| poshposh | Under | 950.5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event refers to Game 4 of the ALCS originally scheduled for 6:00 PM ET on October 16, 2026. This game has been rescheduled to October 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Please refer to mlb.com for the latest start time information. In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for October 17 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Tampa Bay Rays and Cleveland Guardians combine to score 7 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 7, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlb-tb-cle-2026-10-16
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