Analytics
Resolved Soto on 28 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Soto at 99.6%. The Judge side opened at 50% on 23 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 129 daily closes on record from 23 May 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, the highest close was 79.5% on 25 May 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 24 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 55 points down, to 18.5% on 6 Jun 2026. $32.58K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 29, 12:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Judge price, Polymarket CLOB, 129 points, 23 May 2026 – 28 Sep 2026
| Observed | Judge price |
|---|---|
| 23 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Sep 2026 | 0.4% |
This market will resolve to “Judge” if Aaron Judge finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with more walks than Juan Soto. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Soto". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlb-aaron-judge-or-juan-soto-to-draw-more-walks
| Judge |
| 150 |
| Deafening-Possible | Judge | 150 |
| 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734. | Judge | 150 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Judge | 100 |
| plsnolose | Judge | 67.52 |
| cowsgomoo | Judge | 60 |
| Curvy-Vista | Judge | 55 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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