Analytics
The American League side is at 16%, down 21 points from 36.5% when the market opened on 1 Oct 2026.
Across the 24 daily closes on record from 1 Oct 2026 to 26 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 4 Oct 2026 and the lowest 16% on 26 Oct 2026. A week before that last close the American League side was at 37.5%. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 36% on 7 Oct 2026.
$215.57 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $5.82K since listing. The order book holds $36.94K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 79 trades, $427.74 bought American League and $1.8K bought National League.
The largest American League position is funplayer- with 613 shares; the largest National League position is 0x7f7f with 260. Ten wallets hold 88.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 16 Nov 2026, 22 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 26, 1:30 AM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the American League price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 1 Oct 2026 – 26 Oct 2026
| Observed | American League price |
|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2026 | 36.5% |
| 26 Oct 2026 | 16.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| funplayer- | American League | 613.3 |
| ic4cream | American League | 260.1 |
| 0x7f7f | National League | 259.99 |
This market will resolve to "American League" if a team from the American League wins the 2026 World Series. This market will resolve to "National League" if a team from the National League wins the 2026 World Series. If the 2026 World Series is cancelled, postponed after November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlb-2026-world-series-winning-league
| anciano | National League | 240 |
| Lunar Kestrel 473B | National League | 204.89 |
| Fair-Tan | National League | 179.64 |
| TimeTraveler | National League | 151.55 |
| Komala | National League | 106.57 |
| CosmicCedar | American League | 85.79 |
| navber | American League | 65 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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