Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jun 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 50% on 18 Apr 2024. Before it settled, across the 45 daily closes on record from 18 Apr 2024 to 1 Jun 2024, the highest close was 50% on 18 Apr 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 14.5% on 19 Apr 2024. $203.96K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 2, 2:16 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 45 points, 18 Apr 2024 – 1 Jun 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2024 | 50.0% |
| 1 Jun 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| march1 | Yes | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 16, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and May 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mike-johnson-out-as-speaker-before-june
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