Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 14 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 14 Oct 2025 to 21 Oct 2025, the highest close was 5.8% on 16 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 21 Oct 2025. $13.11K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 22, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 14 Oct 2025 – 21 Oct 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2025 | 5.5% |
| 21 Oct 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| siu7 | Yes | 2.33K |
| gollumen | Yes | 928.8 |
| NGWeb3 | Yes | 333.33 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 311 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy announces a purchase of more Bitcoin than the number specified in the title between the dates in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on announcements made within the market's designated time frame regardless of when the actual purchases were made. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor. For reference, MicroStrategy’s reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/microstrategy-announces-4000-btc-purchase-october-14-20
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 240 |
| BTCBear1 | Yes | 105 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 104 |
| Trained-Joy | Yes | 100 |
| wangliang123 | Yes | 88.33 |
| SKittel | Yes | 70 |
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