Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.982 | $98.2 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 99.99 |
| $0.910 |
| $91.04 |
| Mar 11, 2026 |
 Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 61.89 | $0.970 | $60.03 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.971 | $29.13 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 100 | $0.988 | $98.82 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.354 | $354 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 First to 5k: Gold or ETH?Gold | sell | 75 | $0.999 | $74.93 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.820 | $57.4 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Stable launch a token in 2025?Yes | sell | 145 | $0.996 | $144.42 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.913 | $45.65 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.820 | $82 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast hit 470 million subscribers by December 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 96.03 | $0.044 | $4.23 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.100 | $7 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.810 | $81 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by December 31?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.680 | $37.4 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?No | buy | 69 | $0.974 | $67.21 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?No | buy | 31 | $0.970 | $30.07 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.983 | $196.6 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?No | buy | 120 | $0.941 | $112.92 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | sell | 85 | $0.150 | $12.75 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will CarMax (KMX) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?No | sell | 7.77 | $0.991 | $7.7 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.999 | $149.85 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No | buy | 50 | $0.660 | $33 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.740 | $37 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?No | sell | 40 | $0.998 | $39.92 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No | buy | 10 | $0.860 | $8.6 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.280 | $9.8 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will Rob Riggle win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Up Only podcast released by October 31?No | sell | 24.51 | $0.998 | $24.46 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?No | buy | 40 | $0.944 | $37.76 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will Erick Lindgren win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Yes | buy | 123.14 | $0.008 | $0.99 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will Frank Crivello win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.930 | $139.5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.998 | $99.79 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.790 | $39.5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No | buy | 50 | $0.850 | $42.5 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 70 | $0.730 | $51.1 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.855 | $34.2 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Grokipedia released by October 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.997 | $99.7 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 50 | $0.880 | $44 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | buy | 50 | $0.700 | $35 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.070 | $5.25 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.190 | $9.5 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser by October 31?Yes | sell | 52.33 | $0.985 | $51.55 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?No | buy | 34.15 | $0.760 | $25.95 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Grokipedia released by October 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.860 | $43 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Obama arrested in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.963 | $96.3 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Obama arrested in 2025?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.962 | $9.72 | Oct 21, 2025 |