Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 38% on 21 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 41% on 22 Oct 2025 and the low 0.3% on 28 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 22.5% on 23 Oct 2025. $7.28K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 29, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 21 Oct 2025 – 28 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2025 | 38.0% |
| 28 Oct 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| No21 | Yes | 499.98 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 472.99 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 292.76 |
| lissartter | Yes | 199.42 |
| mrsBitcoin | Yes | 100 |
| W.Yang911 | Yes | 83.33 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 65.99 |
| 0x0f | Yes | 50 |
| Gooner69 | Yes | 29.5 |
| Gantz87 | Yes | 28.57 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy announces a purchase of more Bitcoin than the number specified in the title between the dates in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on announcements made within the market's designated time frame regardless of when the actual purchases were made. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor. For reference, MicroStrategy’s reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/microstrategy-announces-1000-btc-purchase-october-21-27
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