- What is the “Microsoft matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?” market asking?
- It asks whether the following will happen: Microsoft matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
- What do the Yes and No prices mean?
- Right now Yes trades at 40.5¢ and No at 59.5¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 40.5% for Yes and 59.5% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
- When does this market close?
- Trading is scheduled to close on Nov 1, 2026. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
- How does this market resolve?
- On September 12, 2026, Anthropic committed to giving embedded third-party evaluators permanent, ongoing, employee-level access to its AI models and training processes. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces a commitment to grant one or more third-party evaluators ongoing employee-level access to its systems, AI models, and training processes during development by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Arrangements limited to evaluating models before release will not qualify. Current agreements with the Center for AI Standards…
- What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
- 24h volume ($1.36K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($1.2K) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
