Analytics
Resolved Yes on 13 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.5%. Yes opened at 29.5% on 22 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 22 Nov 2024 to 13 Dec 2024, the highest close was 97.5% on 13 Dec 2024 and the lowest 21.5% on 25 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 35 points up, to 74.5% on 3 Dec 2024. $630.01K traded over the market's life.
53 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 14, 7:55 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 22 Nov 2024 – 13 Dec 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Nov 2024 | 29.5% |
| 13 Dec 2024 | 97.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Zazoule974 | No | 13.85K |
| JRMS | No | 1.3K |
| D.Law | No | 1.27K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Michel Barnier ceases to be the Prime Minister of France for any period of time between November 20, 2024 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/michel-barnier-out-as-prime-minister-of-france-in-2024
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| No |
| 972.05 |
| IlIl | No | 834.82 |
| PierreTh | No | 532.72 |
| Parieur.ivre | No | 428.27 |
| Syd | No | 375.07 |
| capybara007 | No | 321.25 |
| Alph4-787 | No | 250 |
