Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 15% on 5 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 186 daily closes on record from 5 Dec 2025 to 1 Jul 2026 (23 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 26.5% on 15 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 26 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 26.5% on 15 Jan 2026. $128.31K traded over the market's life.
72 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 12:12 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 186 points, 5 Dec 2025 – 1 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Dec 2025 | 15.0% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cryptogurux | Yes | 2.78K |
| baptisted5 | Yes | 2.14K |
| earthStones | Yes | 1.19K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if new underwater wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH 370 is found by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026. Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mh370-underwater-wreckage-found-by-june-30-2026
| 7153649820 | Yes | 1.03K |
| RiskyyLemon | Yes | 999.97 |
| quirkyquark | Yes | 536.84 |
| etherrain | Yes | 498.66 |
| ccy2036 | Yes | 434.3 |
| 888shameonthe888 | Yes | 425.2 |
| Fast-Chorus | Yes | 367.21 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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