Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Jun 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 17 Jan 2024. Before it settled, across the 139 daily closes on record from 17 Jan 2024 to 3 Jun 2024, the highest close was 50% on 17 Jan 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 49 points down, to 0.8% on 18 Jan 2024. $415.55K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 4, 11:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 139 points, 17 Jan 2024 – 3 Jun 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2024 | 50.0% |
| 3 Jun 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 182.76K |
| drewxbt | Yes | 11.99K |
| gushy | Yes | 7.2K |
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mexican-presidential-election-who-will-win
| Yes |
| 2.75K |
| safasf | Yes | 666.67 |
| yuve1234 | Yes | 593.89 |
| PUDGE-187 | Yes | 500 |
| MatiasD | Yes | 466.25 |
| juu9 | Yes | 400 |
| 9461936453 | Yes | 166.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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