
Resolved No on 31 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 80%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 27 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 34 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2026 to 31 Jul 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 75.5% on 16 Jul 2026 and the lowest 20.1% on 31 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 34 points up, to 75.5% on 16 Jul 2026. $766 traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 31, 8:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 34 points, 27 Jun 2026 – 31 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 49.5% |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 20.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TeenagePanda | Yes | 200 |
| RustyScissors | Yes | 200 |
| cmarp1 | Yes | 100 |
| Feminine-Decrease | Yes | 93 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/meta-above-in-july-2026
| superstonksbro | Yes | 27 |
| hesure | Yes | 25 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| Weepy-Item | Yes | 5 |
| WMNB | Yes | 5 |
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