Analytics
Resolved Yes on 3 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.4%. Yes opened at 54% on 16 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 78 daily closes on record from 16 Jan 2025 to 3 Apr 2025, the highest close was 99.4% on 14 Feb 2025 and the lowest 54% on 16 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 42 points up, to 96.5% on 17 Jan 2025. $237.2K traded over the market's life.
143 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 4, 8:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 78 points, 16 Jan 2025 – 3 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2025 | 54.0% |
| 3 Apr 2025 | 98.4% |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mehmet Oz is confirmed as Administrator of Medicare and Medicaid by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Oz's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects their nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-trump-picks-will-be-confirmed
| No |
| 154.99 |
| ozwizard | Yes | 98 |
| DamianMoz | No | 73.96 |
| Kadg | No | 40.85 |
| Snappy | No | 30 |
| BabyYoda12 | No | 20.21 |
| laurenmccarthy | No | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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