Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.
Depth
Observed
Jul 2, 2025
This resolved market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.
Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.
Market state
Closed
Order book
Captured book available
Observed Yes
0.0%
The venue reports this market closed, but no resolved outcome is inferred.
Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.
Rows loaded
15
Wallets
15
Top 10 share
97%
Yes / No shares
3.04K / 0
Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.
Recent tapeLatest public market trades.
Trades loaded
388
Wallets
198
Loaded notional
PricesPolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Jul 1, 12:00 AM
Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.
Bucket
Close
Mid
Spread
Volume
Trades
Jul 1, 12:00 AM
0.3%
0.3%
Jun 30, 12:00 AM
0.8%
0.8%
Jun 29, 12:00 AM
0.7%
0.7%
Questions
Questions about this market
What is the “Megaquake in June?” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: Megaquake in June? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to close on Jul 1, 2025. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?
A "megaquake" is defined as an earthquake with a magnitude of 8.0 or greater. This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 8.0 or higher occur anywhere on earth between June 2, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake hazards program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source,…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
24h volume ($141.46K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
Who holds the biggest positions in this market?
$96.35K
No buy at 99.9%
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Jul 1, 12:00 AM
Points
29
Move
-6.3 pts
Range
0.3% - 6.5%
Jun 3, 12:00 AM to Jul 1, 12:00 AM
Jun 28, 12:00 AM
0.6%
0.6%
Jun 27, 12:00 AM
0.9%
0.9%
Jun 26, 12:00 AM
1.0%
1.0%
Jun 25, 12:00 AM
2.1%
2.1%
Jun 24, 12:00 AM
2.3%
2.3%
Jun 23, 12:00 AM
2.4%
2.4%
Jun 22, 12:00 AM
2.4%
2.4%
Jun 21, 12:00 AM
2.3%
2.3%
Jun 20, 12:00 AM
2.8%
2.8%
Jun 19, 12:00 AM
2.8%
2.8%
Jun 18, 12:00 AM
3.5%
3.5%
Jun 17, 12:00 AM
3.4%
3.4%
Jun 16, 12:00 AM
3.6%
3.6%
Jun 15, 12:00 AM
3.5%
3.5%
Jun 14, 12:00 AM
3.5%
3.5%
Jun 13, 12:00 AM
3.5%
3.5%
Jun 12, 12:00 AM
3.6%
3.6%
Jun 11, 12:00 AM
3.9%
3.9%
Jun 10, 12:00 AM
4.4%
4.4%
Jun 9, 12:00 AM
4.5%
4.5%
Jun 8, 12:00 AM
4.3%
4.3%
Jun 7, 12:00 AM
4.5%
4.5%
Jun 6, 12:00 AM
4.5%
4.5%
Jun 5, 12:00 AM
5.1%
5.1%
Jun 4, 12:00 AM
3.5%
3.5%
Jun 3, 12:00 AM
6.5%
6.5%
Vultax loaded 15 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 97.4% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Jul 2, 8:24 AM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/megaquake-in-june) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
