Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 50% on 8 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 8 Jul 2026 and the low 0.1% on 1 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 48 points down, to 1.1% on 26 Jul 2026. $864.5 traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 6, 6:14 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 8 Jul 2026 – 6 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 6 Aug 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gambooool | Yes | 80.5 |
| sanduspace | Yes | 20 |
| crn1 | Yes | 15 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 0.5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player finishes the 2026 World Series of Poker Main Event, Event #82, held July 2–13, 2026, with the final table played August 3–5, 2026 in a paid finishing position i.e., is awarded a payout per the official tournament payout structure. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No." If the listed player does not enter or play the 2026 WSOP Main Event, this market will resolve "No." Any case in which it cannot be clearly established that the listed player finished in a paid position will resolve "No." If the 2026 WSOP Main Event is cancelled, or is not completed such that final paid finishing positions are not determined by August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (two weeks after the scheduled conclusion of the final table on August 5, 2026), this market will resolve to "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the World Series of Poker (https://www.wsop.com). A consensus of credible reporting (e.g., the Hendon Mob poker database at https://pokerdb.thehendonmob.com) may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wsop-2026-main-event-which-players-will-cash-20260706180850090
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