Analytics
Resolved No on 24 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.6%. Yes opened at 46% on 27 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 26 daily closes on record from 27 Sep 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 46% on 27 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 15 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 17% on 28 Sep 2026. $10.09K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 25, 6:02 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 27 Sep 2026 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2026 | 46.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 1.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cosmin1992 | Yes | 1.72K |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 219.98 |
| Frugal-Cabin | Yes | 164.67 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sanctions imposed on Manchester City FC by the independent Regulatory Commission for the breaches found in the Premier League's proceedings against Manchester City FC concerning alleged breaches of the Premier League's financial rules, which were announced on February 6, 2023 (commonly referred to as the "115 charges" case) are officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement of the sanctions set by the independent Regulatory Commission will count, regardless of whether they are later appealed, including a decision that no sanction will be imposed. If sanctions are announced in stages, the first official announcement of any sanction will count. An announcement of the findings of breach without any corresponding sanction, reports or leaks of expected sanctions, and sanctions for any other matter will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Premier League, the independent Regulatory Commission, the Appeal Board, or Manchester City FC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/manchester-city-punishment-announced-by
| 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734. | Yes | 150 |
| Fluo | Yes | 100 |
| a5533 | Yes | 20 |
| 0x49F206 | Yes | 5 |
| Smooth-Bike | Yes | 2.23 |
| Cosmic Maven D888 | No | 1.79 |
| manochartino | Yes | 1.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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