Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 13%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 30 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 30 Sep 2026 to 1 Oct 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 30 Sep 2026 and the lowest 13% on 1 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 13% on 1 Oct 2026. $5.06K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 12:51 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 30 Sep 2026 – 1 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2026 | 50.5% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 13.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bakayo33 - 9934 | No | 120 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| Polimaki | No | 40 |
| maomao228 | No | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani, is photographed or videotaped wearing a Yarmulke/Kippah at any point between market creation and December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be both taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, or AI-generated media will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including images or video evidence.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mamdani-wears-a-yarmulke-by-the-end-of-channukah
New to prediction markets?
| bjprolo | No | 10 |
| zzzzasas | No | 2.38 |
