Analytics
Resolved Yes on 3 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 24%. Yes opened at 38.5% on 2 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 125 daily closes on record from 2 Jul 2025 to 3 Nov 2025, the highest close was 51.5% on 24 Aug 2025 and the lowest 17.5% on 9 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 17.5% on 9 Oct 2025. $124.35K traded over the market's life.
43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 4, 4:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 125 points, 2 Jul 2025 – 3 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2025 | 38.5% |
| 3 Nov 2025 | 24.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gulliblebettor | No | 8.25K |
| lordDunkelziffer | No | 3.61K |
| 0xNimrod | No | 1.57K |
This is a market on whether any crypto project or exchange suffers an exploit or hack of value at least $100 million USD equivalent between June 30, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Decentralized exchanges and lending protocol hacks will count. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Rekt News leaderboard (https://rekt.news/leaderboard/), however a credible consensus of reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/major-crypto-exchange-hack-in-2025
| No |
| 1K |
| betr | No | 849.24 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 681 |
| thinkpopo | No | 268.2 |
| rising | No | 175.44 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 160 |
| oak | No | 124 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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