Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 93.9%. Yes opened at 78.5% on 27 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 27 Feb 2025 to 5 Mar 2025, the highest close was 98.9% on 4 Mar 2025 and the lowest 78.5% on 27 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8.4 points up, to 98.9% on 4 Mar 2025. $16.21K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 6, 2:58 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 27 Feb 2025 – 5 Mar 2025, chart shows 70%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Feb 2025 | 78.5% |
| 5 Mar 2025 | 93.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| technical2 | No | 1.07K |
| wtffff | No | 280.92 |
| ascii | No | 30.69 |
| akl-4ibm | Yes | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces a new MacBook Air product with an M4 chip between February 25 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If multiple products are released, each relevant market may resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be an official feed of the event and information from Apple, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/macbook-air-m4-released-before-april
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| low.iq.games | Yes | 0.02 |
| BigSmolE | Yes | 0.01 |
| bistrogons | Yes | 0.01 |
| epstes | Yes | 0.01 |
