Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 4.3% on 12 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 12 Dec 2024 to 19 Dec 2024, the highest close was 4.3% on 12 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.6% on 19 Dec 2024. $20.37K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 20, 5:51 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 12 Dec 2024 – 19 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2024 | 4.3% |
| 19 Dec 2024 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 9.28K |
| St-Qc | Yes | 249.99 |
| Violet Summit CA8D | Yes | 20.28 |
| Lunar Vector B496 | Yes | 15.28 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a negrisk market group over within what month Luigi Mangione will be extradited to New York.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/luigi-mangione-extradited-to-new-york-in
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Neon Orbit AB8E | Yes | 14.32 |
| Cobalt Harbor 0E10 | Yes | 10.8 |
| PolyDump | Yes | 10 |
| Twizzler | Yes | 10 |
| Rapid Voyager 82D2 | Yes | 10 |
| Web3Marcus | Yes | 1.14 |
