Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 50.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 23 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 23 Oct 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 49.5% on 27 Oct 2026.
Polymarket record as of Oct 27, 10:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 23 Oct 2026 – 27 Oct 2026, chart shows 44%–56%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 49.5% |
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This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 2. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Vitality Rising Bees and Mental Rush each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 2. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay Baron Nashor during Game 2. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain Baron Nashor prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lol-rb-mr-2026-10-27
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