Analytics
Resolved Yes on 23 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 50.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 19 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 19 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 50.5% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 50% on 19 Oct 2026.
Polymarket record as of Oct 23, 10:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 19 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 50.5% |
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This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. Once a team claims the Dragon Soul (by slaying four dragons), all subsequent dragon spawns become Elder Dragons. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both G2 Esports and Dplus KIA each slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay any elemental dragon during Game 1. Only elemental dragons count toward this market — Elder Dragon kills do not count. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 23, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain at least one elemental dragon prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lol-g2-dk-2026-10-23
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