
Resolved Conviction on 15 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Conviction at 100%. The Conviction side opened at 50% on 14 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 100% on 15 Aug 2026 and the low 50% on 14 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 50 points up, to 100% on 15 Aug 2026. $83.38K traded over the market's life.
77 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 16, 3:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Conviction price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 14 Aug 2026 – 15 Aug 2026
| Observed | Conviction price |
|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 15 Aug 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BrotherObama | Blue Otter | 6K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Blue Otter | 3.05K |
| demo258 | Blue Otter | 1.37K |
| Awkward-Disconnection | Blue Otter | 967.57 |
| 21372137 | Blue Otter | 868.69 |
| Blue-Minibus | Blue Otter | 835.96 |
| bosstariro | Blue Otter | 547.94 |
| imake1mil | Blue Otter | 513 |
| EVplusrebate | Blue Otter | 499.95 |
| sentrio | Blue Otter | 443.88 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the LoL match between Conviction and Blue Otter in the North American Challengers League Last Chance Qualifier, initially scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Conviction" if Conviction win the match against Blue Otter. This market will resolve to "Blue Otter" if Blue Otter win the match against Conviction. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, the 7-day (168-hour) delay period will be measured from the originally scheduled start time of August 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET to the rescheduled start time. If the rescheduled start time falls more than 168 hours after the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve to 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If no rescheduled start time falling within that 168-hour period has been announced by August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is rescheduled to a start time within 168 hours of the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve based on the result of the match as played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
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